Saturday, April 18, 2015

Jho Low Vs Khairy Vs PM

A Kadir Jasin

UPDATE, 20 April – Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad said he was willing to overlook the lavish lifestyle of Mohd Najib and his wife, Rosmah Mansor, but had to speak up on 1MDB.

In his latest blog post, Dr Mahathir, among other things, said: "There are many things about his personal behaviour that I thought were not right. But I was prepared to overlook them, including he and his wife’s lavish lifestyle.

"But when he cannot explain where billions of ringgit have gone to and his involvement with questionable people in the management of 1MDB, I feel that he is not fit to be the prime minister of this country.

"I will explain about how he lost billions of ringgit in my next blog."


THE Penang-born international man of mystery, Jho Taek Low, dares to take a swipe at Umno for several reasons.

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In an interview with the monthly business magazine, Euromoney he labelled his critics in Umno as spinmasters. His exact words are - those Umno guys are spinmasters.

The magazine’s story was headlined “Jho says it ain’t so: Malaysian tycoon denies role in 1MDB “heist of the century”.

This is what Jho Low had said about the so-called Umno spinmasters. “I’ve never faced this kind of attack from all directions. It's just crazy, and these UMNO guys are spinmasters, they know all this sort of nonsense."

Firstly he may not have much respect for Umno having had the experience of dealing with some of its key leaders over the years.

Secondly the physical distance between him and the Malaysia jurisdiction makes him feel safe.

We don’t know exactly where this son of Penang businessman, (Tan Sri Datuk Seri) Larry Low Hock Peng, is.

Maybe Mohd Najib’s stepson, Riza Shahriz Abdul Aziz, knows but he too is an international jetsetter and may not be easy to locate.Even if we can locate him, he may not want to give us Jlo Low’s address.

The Wolves of Wall Street's Riza, Joey McFarland and Jho Low

We can ask Paris Hilton but she may report us to the US Justice Department for international harassment and that would not be good for us.

We could try his Arab friends but they may say “insya-Allah” (God willing) and never get back to us. I once nearly missed a flight out of an Arab country because my government-assigned driver and guide said “insya-Allah” profusely but did not turned up the next morning. They overslept.

Even if Jho Low said he would come back, there is no guarantee that the authorities would be able to pin him down. Remember he was a smooth operator until his cover was blown during the 2013 general election campaign. Also the investigators may deliberately not ask him certain sensitive questions so that he could be let off the hook.

A young Indian Malaysian entrepreneur told me that Jho Low is located in Hong Kong. Phew…what a relief if that’s true. If he is in Hong Kong, we could use the services of the triads to track him down. His Hong Kong company is called Jynwel Capital Limited.

If Home Minister, (Datuk Seri) Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, seems to know the internationally wanted alleged gambling kingpin, Phua Wei Seng aka Paul Phua, well enough to vouch for him in a letter to the FBI, I am sure it will not be a hassle for us to find a totally respectable and dependable triad chief in Hong Kong to track down Jho Low. Or as a quid pro quo, we can ask the FBI to help.

Paul Phua: Ahmad Zaid Vouched for him

Thirdly (or rather firstly) Jho Low dares to lampoon Umno because Mohd Najib himself regularly lampoons his party people. For instance, he called paid Umno bloggers “bangang” (stupid). He admitted that there are apple polishers and “jemuan” (undesirable people) in the party. He even labelled people whom he considered as ungrateful to the government “haram jadah” (bastards). So what’s so terribly offensive if Jho Low followed suit by labelling his critics as in Umno as spin masters?

Jho Low calling Umno people who accused him of manipulating 1MDB as spinmasters is actually very mild. It is a lot more respectable than being called “bangang”.

Fourthly, since Mohd Najib had openly cleared him of wrongdoing (or rather involvement with 1MDB) he has a strong reason accuse Umno of gunning after him.

In a written reply to a query by Wangsa Maju PKR member of Parliament, Dr Tan Kee Kwong, last month Mohd Najib told Dewan Rakyat that “Mr Low Taek Jho has never worked with 1MDB and all decisions and dealings of 1MDB were was done by the management and board of directors.”

How dare those Umno gals and guys, including Youth Chief Khairy Jamaluddin, not believe what their boss had said in Parliament about Mr Low?
Are they saying they don’t believe the Prime Minister? Worse still are they siding with (Tun) Dr Mahathir who wants Jho Low’s role in 1MDB probed?

Or are Umno leaders in such a state of confusion that they don’t know what to do anymore? They had gathered to support their boss. They had sung and danced in praise of him. They pledged their undying love and affection. They carried him so high that he he appeared "gayat" because from that lofty height he could see eternity.

Being "julang" so high that the PM could see eternity
 But why still ask for Jho Low to be investigated when Mohd Najib had cleared him, not in the lowly roadside stall, but in the august house of Parliament?

By blaming the Umno spinmasters Jho Low had portrayed some elements in Umno as not respecting Mohd Najib. This amounts to pitting the Umno President against members of his own party.

Then again, Jho Low could be chest deep in the 1MDB muck. He may not have worked with 1MDB and that all 1MDB decisions and dealings were done by the management and board of directors, but there was nothing to stop him from acting as a fee-earning agent or facilitator. 

Abdul Razak Baginda brokered for Defence Ministry
Abdul Razak Abdullah Baginda too did not work for the Defence Ministry and, I am sure that all decisions and dealings at the ministry were done by Defence Minister and his generals, but that did not stop Abdul Razak from acting as a fee-earning agent for the purchase of the Scorpéne-class submarines. He reputedly earned some US$200 million in commission for brokering the US$2-billion deal.

So we still have to be aware and seek the truth about what Jho Low had said about himself in the Euromoney interview and his role in 1MDB.

He accused the Umno’s spinmasters of playing the Bumiputera card by portraying him as "Chinaman (who) stole the money and blew it on alcohol."


Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Engkau Tidak Keseorangan

A Kadir Jasin

(Puisi buat orang tua kita, Tun Dr Mahathir)

ENGKAU tidak keseorangan
Suaramu tidak hilang dalam kebisingan
Amanatmu tidak boleh disekat dihalang
Atau dilenyapkan oleh genderang perang.

Biarkan mereka meniupkan nafiri
Mendabik dada menunjuk berani
Biarkan mereka julang sang dewata
Biarkan mereka bersumpah setia
Menyanyikan lagu-lagu cinta
Sambil berkata:
“Kami cintakanmu sang dewata.”

Biarkan dia dijulang sejuta manusia
Biarkan dia disanjung demi kuasa
Biarkan dia dipuja kerana wang berjuta
Kerana engkau lebih besar daripada itu
Engkau tidak perlu puji dan puja palsu.

Engkau tidak keseorangan
Suaramu tidak hilang dalam keriuhan
Amanatmu tidak pudar kerana cemuhan
Atau dilenyapkan oleh sejuta tuduhan.

Biarkan mereka mengutuk mencacimu
Biarkan mereka menyumpah seranah namamu
Memanggilmu orang tua gila
Kerana azammu membela bangsa dan negara
Kerana pedulimu kepada rakyat jelata.

Biarkan mereka mendabik dada
Biarkan mereka tunjuk perkasa
Kerana kekuatanmu bukan pada senjata
Bukan pada penyokong palsu berjuta
Bukan pada kedudukan dan kuasa
Tetapi pada azam sekeras waja
Pada minda yang tiada taranya.

Engkau keseorangan ..bersendirian?

Jauh sekali, umpama air dengan api
Engkau punya ramai kawan dan teman
Engkau punya anak-anak yang cintanya sejati
Generasi yang engkau didik dan besarkan
Dengan idealisme dan perjuangan
Merekalah bala tenteramu
Merekalah pengarak panji-panjimu
Merekalah peniup nafirimu
Merekalah pemalu genderang perangmu.

Perjuangan-mu belum selesai
Bahtera kita dilanda ombak badai
Bahtera merdeka pusaka ibunda
Yang kita bina dengan keringat dan air mata
Berdosalah kita seandainya ia terkandas
Dirampas dirampok tangan-tangan ganas.

Anak-anakmu masih ingat luahan hatimu
“....Tidak ada yang lebih menyedihkan
dari membiarkan bangsaku dihina
Air mata tiada ertinya
Sejarah silam tiada maknanya
Sekiranya bangsa tercinta terpinggir
Dipersenda dan dilupakan.”

Perjuanganmu belum selesai
Jangan biarkan hati anak-anakmu terlerai
Jangan biarkan negara kita hancur berkecai
Insya-Allah hasrat murni kita akan tercapai.

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

JJ Chopper Crash: Silence Before Plunge

A Kadir Jasin

MYSTERY widens. Another air crash involving a Malaysian registered craft is displaying unexplainable circumstances.

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It concerns the deadly crash of Eurocopter AS3655N2 Dauphin, registration no 9M-1GB, on April 4 in Semenyih, Selangor that killed six persons including (Tan Sri) Jamaluddin Jarjis.

This followed the March 8, 2014 disappearance of Malaysia Airline’s flight MH370 with 239 people on board and the shooting down of MH17 over eastern Ukraine just over four months later, on July 17, killing all 283 passengers and crew.

In a front-page report today, the New Straits Times quoted investigators of the helicopter crash as saying, among other things, that:

1. All on board went quiet for several minutes before the death plunge.

2. Aidana Baizieva was an “active participant” of the flight’s operations.

3. No Mayday call: Explosion could have destroyed communication system.

Why did the voice recorder, which earlier on showed that the passengers were “very chatty”, suddenly went silent for a while before the craft went down?

In the exclusive report, the NST said not even the pilot, American Clifford William Fournier, and the mysterious young Krygyzstan women, Baizieva, who was in the co-pilot’s seat, uttered anything.

The NST said only the sound of their breathing was picked up by the cockpit voice recorder (CVR).

It quoted a source assaying that those on board spoke on various subjects “irrelevant to the investigation” ... then there was a lull of several minutes up to the crash.

What were they talking about?

The NST quoted the source as saying: “But let there not be any speculation on this as their going quiet could be due to many reasons, including fatigue.”

It said the investigators had strong grounds to believe that there was an explosion onboard before the craft went down.

What sort of explosion - engine-related, explosives, gunfire, lightning....?  

Things are getting ever stranger and more disturbing in our beloved Malaysia.


Monday, April 13, 2015

Siapa Akan Ganti JJ Sebagai Strategis PM?

A Kadir Jasin

UPDATE, 14 April – SATU lagi persoalan. Adalah tanpa JJ, kaedah komunikasi Mohd Najib akan bertambah baik atau makin buruk? Temu ramah TV beliau yang kononnya untuk menjawab semua soalan dikatakan tidak menjawab apa-apa. SOAL TAK JAWAB, kata Tun Dr Mahathir dalam post terbaru blognya. (Baca di sini).

Pemuda Umno pula "usung" Perdana Menteri. Tapi jaga-jaga. Macam tak "steady" saja! Silap-silap Saudara Khairy Jamaluddin jadi Ketua Pembangkan termuda dalam Dewan Rakyat.

Usung jangan tak usung, tapi nampak tak berapa "steady"

DENGAN maaf dan tanpa prejudis. Saya tidak menulis apa-apa mengenai kematian tragik (Tan Sri) Jamaluddin Mohd Jarjis pada 4 April lalu sebab saya kenal beliau lama dan boleh dikatakan rapat juga.

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Kali terakhir saya berjumpa beliau beberapa bulan lalu kerana beliau ingin menceritakan kepada saya mengenai Perumahan Rakyat 1Malaysia (PR1MA) Berhad yang beliau adalah pengerusinya.

Masalahnya apabila kita kenal seseorang dan dia meninggal dunia secara tragik, kita akan mendapati sukar memilih bahasa yang sesuai untuk meluahkan perasaan kita dan menceritakan apa yang kita tahu.

Saya mengenali beliau sebagai jurutera muda dan pensyarah Universiti Malaya kerana minat beliau dalam politik dan kesediaan beliau memberi pandangan mengenai isu-isu semasa.

Imej beliau dibantu oleh hakikat bahawa bapanya, yang dikenali di kalangan wartawan jenayah sebagai “Tuan” Mohd Jarjis, pernah menjadi Ketua Polis Negeri Pahang dan Terengganu, dan apabila bersara menjadi pensyarah sambilan di Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM).

Saya berasa perlu menulis rencana lebih seminggu selepas pemergian JJ kerana seorang kawan yang boleh dikira akrab dengan Allahyarham berkata saya wajar menulis mengenai beliau, tetapi dengan mengkhususkannya kepada peranan beliau sebagai ketua turus de facto Perdana Menteri (Datuk Seri) Mohd Najib Abdul Razak.

JJ Sebagai Chief of Staff PM

Jadi kami berbincang mengenai siapa JJ kepada Mohd Najib. Kata kawan saya itu, peranan (dan jasa) JJ wajar dicatatkan untuk diketahui dan diadili oleh umum.

Kesimpulan yang boleh saya buat hasil daripada perbincangan dengan kawan saya itu dan daripada sumber-sumber lain ialah JJ adalah strategis, penasihat, sahabat dan “family friend” nombor satu Perdana Menteri.

Beliaulah yang merangka dan melaksanakan dasar komunikasi dan penjenamaan (branding) Perdana Menteri yang melahirkan pemerintahan ala Presiden Amerika (American presidential style) oleh Mohd Najib. Sekali gus acuan itu menjadikan JJ ketua turus (chief of staff).

Sebab itulah kita lihat Mohd Najib memerintah seolah-olah beliau seorang presiden dengan barisan kakitangan, penasihat dan pegawai khas sendiri. Gaya pentadbiran ini memisahkan beliau daripada parti dan, dalam hal-hal tertentu – seperti 1Malaysia Development Berhad – memisahkan beliau daripada Kabinet. Sedangkan sistem kita adalah sistem ala Westminster.

Tidak hairanlah kalau agensi berita Perancis, L’Agence France-Presse (AFP) dalam laporannya mengenai kematian JJ menyebut JJ sebagai Chief of Staff Perdana Menteri. Bagi saya jolokan itu amat tepat sekali walaupun jawatan itu tidak wujud dalam tatanama (nomenclature) perjawatan Jabatan Perkhidmatan Awam.

JJ rakan nombor satu AS di Malaysia
Dalam kapasiti sebagai ketua turus itulah beliau menentukan segala tindak-tanduk Perdana Menteri dengan melaksanakan apa yang beliau pelajari mengenai pentadbiran ala White House (Rumah Putih) ketika menjadi duta ke Amerika Syarikat antara tahun 2009 dan 2012.

Perlu disebutkan juga bahawa JJ ada sahabat nombor satu Amerika Syarikat di Malaysia. Bendera di Kedutaan Amerika di ibu negara dikibarkan separuh tiang pada 5 April bagi menghormati beliau.

Kawan JJ itu memberitahu saya, beliau mengasaskan perhubungan akrab Malaysia-Amerika atas landasan bahawa musuh bersama Malaysia dan Amerika adalah China. 

Separuh tiang cara Kedutaan Amerika tunjuk hormat

Strategi JJ Tonjolkan Mohd Najib

Beliau berperanan merangka strategi politik dan pentadbiran Mohd Najib. Manifestasi kepakaran (handiwork) beliau ialah kempen Pilihan Raya Umum 2013 di mana Mohd Najib ditonjolkan sebagai simbol utama.

Maka timbullah slogan-slogan seperti “I Love PM” dan “Sokong Saya Undi BN” serta penggunaan media baru seperti Facebook dan Twitter untuk mempromosikan Perdana Menteri. Dalam kempen PRU 2013 peranan Umno dan BN tidak menonjol kononnya Mohd Najib lebih laku daripada Umno atau BN.

Itulah kaedah yang digunakan oleh para strategis Presiden Barrack Obama ketika Pilihan Raya Presiden Amerika tahun 2008 di mana Obama menang besar. 

JJ dikatakan pencetus slogan "I Love PM"
Allahyarham pernah membuat panggilan telefon kepada saya dari Washington DC bagi menyatakan betapa berlainannya Obama berbanding Presiden-Presiden Amerika sebelum itu. Serta-merta kami berbeza pendapat.

Tetapi strategi yang sama yang beliau gunakan bagi pihak Mohd Najib tidak berhasil. Barisan Nasional hampir kalah dilanda Tsunami Cina (meminjam ungkapan Mohd Najib) dan banyak pihak, termasuk (Tun) Dr Mahathir Mohamad dan (Tun) Daim Zainuddin, secara terbuka berkata prestasi buruk BN berpunca daripada kesilapan strategi oleh “penasihat half-past six”.

Namun hampir tidak ada siapa menuding jari ke arah JJ. Sebaliknya beliau menjadi lebih berpengaruh dan disanjung oleh Mohd Najib dan digeruni oleh orang di sekeliling Perdana Menteri. Hatta Umno dikatakan mendengar cakap beliau.

PM Hilang Orang Kanan

Kawan JJ itu berkata, kematian tragik beliau memberi kesan besar kepada pentadbiran Pejabat Perdana Menteri (PMO).

Apatah lagi turut terkorban ialah Ketua Setiausaha Sulit Perdana Menteri, (Datuk) Azlin Alias. JJ dan Azlin ibarat jari dengan kuku.

Selain memegang kunci kepada jentera politik, propaganda dan penjenamaan Mohd Najib, Allahyarham juga diketahui memainkan peranan penting dalam pembiayaan politik (political funding) Perdana Menteri.

Jadi siapakah yang akan menggantikan beliau sebagai operator nombor satu PMO dan sejauh manakah pembiayaan politik Perdana Menteri terjejas akibat kematian mengejut beliau?

Ada pihak mengatakan Setiausaha Agung Umno merangkap Menteri Wilayah Persekutuan, Tengku (Teuku) Adnan Mansor mungkin mengisi kekosongan itu. Ini berdasarkan kenyaringan beliau membela dan mempertahankan Perdana Menteri.

Namun saya kurang yakin dengan ramalan ini. Rasanya sukar bagi Mohd Najib mencari pengganti serupa JJ.

Ada orang yang tahu mengenai Perdana Menteri atau yang telah melihat gerak-geri beliau selepas kematian JJ mengatakan kesan emosi dan fizikal terhadap Mohd Najib sangat jelas.


Thursday, April 09, 2015

Ibu Sirul Kongsi Maklumat Dengan Dr Mahathir

A Kadir Jasin

MUTAKHIR, 10 April – Terima kasih kepada pembahas kerana merujuk kepada temu ramah berakam (recorded interview) TV3 dengan Perdana Menteri malam tadi.

Surat khabar arus perdana kata “semua dijawab”. Maksudnya Mohd Najib Abdul Razak menjawab “semua” soalan Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad.

Hamdan temu ramah PM di TV3 malam tadi - Gambar Rockybru.
Saya tidak salahkan mereka menulis tajuk berita sedemikian kerana saya yakin para petugas mereka tidak membaca blog Dr Mahathir di atau mana-mana laman berita yang memetik soalan-soalan yang beliau kemukakan kepada Mohd Najib apatah lagi menyiarkan soalan-soalan beliau dalam akhbar atau di stesen TV mereka.

Malang bagi mereka dan bagi Perdana Menteri kerana ada di antara yang membaca akhbar arus perdana dan menonton TV3 turut melayari blog Dr Mahathir dan portal-portal berita untuk mengetahui apa yang beliau tanya.

Dr Mahathir tidak pernah kata atau buat andaian Mohd Najib kenal Altantuya apatah lagi terlibat dalam pembunuhannya. Tapi itulah yang Mohd Najib bersumpah berkali-kali.

UPDATE, 9 April - Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad hari mencabar penyokong Perdana Menteri, Datuk Seri Mohd Najib Abdul Razak, supaya mengisyiharkan sokongan mereka kepada 1MDB dan modus operandi urus niaganya. 

Menulis dalam blognya, Dr Mahathir berkata mereka perlu menjawab soalan-soalan yang beliau kemukakan mengenai 1MDB kalau mereka setuju dengan Mohd Najib dan menyokong beliau. (Rencana penuh di sini).


IBU Sirul Azhar Umar, Piah Ahmad, telah berjumpa bekas Perdana Menteri (Tun) Dr Mahathir Mohamad di Yayasan Kepimpinan Perdana, Putrajaya semalam.

Sirul buatkan ramai "love PM". Kata orang "I Love PM" adalah legasi Allahyarham (Tan Sri) Jamaluddin Mohd Jarjis

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Laporan beberapa portal berita bebas berkata beliau diiringi oleh Ketua Penerangan PAS merangkap Ahli Parlimen Pokok Sena, Mahfuz Omar.

Awal pagi ini, dalam jawapan kepada SMS saya, Mahfuz mengesahkan yang perjumpaan itu berlaku semalam (Rabu).

(Dari Kiri) Mahfuz, Dr Mahathir, Ibu dan bapa saudara Sirul (FMT)
Pertemuan itu dikatakan diatur oleh bekas naib ketua Umno bahagian Batu Kawan, (Datuk Paduka) Khairuddin Abu Hassan. Pada 2 Februari lalu Khairuddin membuat laporan polis terhadap 1Malaysia Development Berhad.
Ibu Sirul dikatakan telah berkongsi maklumat dan beberapa fakta rahsia dengan Dr Mahathir berhubung pembunuhan warganegara Mongolia, Altantuya Shaariibuu pada tahun 2006.

Sirul bersama Cif Inspektor Azilah Hadri dijatuhi hukuman gantung oleh Mahkamah Persekutuan pada 13 Januari lalu atas tuduhan membunuh Altantuya. Sirul tidak hadir mahkamah dan muncul di Australia kemudiannya.


Monday, April 06, 2015

Crystal-balling Malaysian Politics post-Mohd Najib

A Kadir Jasin

UPDATE, April 7 – THE Kedai Kopi Assembly (KKA) convened at Ratha Raub Restaurant in Damansara Utama this morning for roti canai and claypot ikan tenggiri curry.

Present were the usual gang (bloggers, journalists and a Eurasian lawyer). Blogger OutSyed the BOX was not present as he is cruising the Mediterranean.

Special invitees were Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department (Datuk Seri) Shahidan Kassim, PAS MP for Pokok Sena Mahfuz Omar, the PKR MP for Penampang Darell Leiking and PAS State Assemblyman for Batu Buruk Dr Syed Azman Ahmad Nawawi. An invite from DAP, Liew Chin Tong (Kluang MP) couldn’t make it as he is in Australia meeting Malaysian communities there.

Enjoyng good "gebang" during KKA
More pictures at APANAMA.


IF the Prime Minister, (Datuk Seri) Mohd Najib Abdul Razak resigns or is replaced, who is the most suitable and most likely to succeed him and what will happen to Malaysian politics?

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These are among the many questions that have to be asked and answered.

But before that we will have to determine whether he survives the assault on him from within and outside Umno.

To begin with, doing away with Mohd Najib is not going to be easy. Certainly not as easy as forcing out (Tun) Abdullah Ahmad Badawi in 2009.

In the wider context, we Malaysians could very well be approaching the hell gate of weak government. Both the Barisan Nasional (BN) and Pakatan Rakyat (PR) have their own sets of issues to be able to offer a credible choice at the polls.

For now, the more likely scenario is Mohd Najib survives as Prime Minister, Umno President and BN Chairman but the BN could lose the next general election. The redrawing of election boundaries could be to the advantage of the BN in the rural areas but may no be enough to offset voters’ rebellion.

To help us find answers to the above questions, let us consider the following:

1. Mohd Najib isn’t Abdullah. Showing Pak Lah the door in 2009 was a lot easier. He did not have as many apple polishers and jemuan (to borrow Mohd Najib’s own words when opening Kedah Umno Convention on March 14) as the incumbent.

2. Pak Lah did not have an ambitious wife. He had health issues. His did not have a support base as strong as Mohd Najib. Umno divisional, state and federal leaders were then less hypocritical and there was still some “perjuangan” (struggle) left.

3. Mohd Najib might not have played a key role in forcing Pak Lah to resign. But he must have learned a few lessons to avoid Pak Lah’s pitfalls. Mohd Najib has an ambitious determined wife who would want him to stay at all costs. On the other hand, Pak Lah’s wife, (Tun) Jeanne, is not ambitious woman and it was said that she urged him to resign.

4. Pak Lah did not have too many people depending on him for favours – political, business and professional. Members of his kitchen cabinet numbered less than 10. Mohd Najib has hundreds. He built his influenced by dispensing favours to as many people as possible. He runs the biggest Prime Minister’s Office in history and controls the party chiefs with the gifts of golden eggs (to borrow the expression of the Umno Secretary General Tenkgu aka Teuku Adnan Mansor) and surrounded himself with quasi government agencies which are not under the control of the Public Services Department.

5. He may not be liked and loved by Dr Mahathir, Umno veterans and bloggers, but he is loved by the upper echelon of the business community. The Bumiputera businessmen get contracts and blessings from him. The Chinese also get contracts from the government while at the same time they take advantage of marketplace uncertainties to buy back their shares, doubles their profits and transfer their wealth abroad. The Indian tycoons too benefited by being close to him and his household. They enjoy preferential loans and plump business deals, contracts and concessions. One of them – T. Ananda Krishnan – went a step further by providing loans to the government to bail out the ailing 1Malaysia Development Berhad.

6. Assuming that there is a hidden widespread dissatisfaction among Umno leaders and this would soon boil over and topples Mohd Najib, who would then take over?

7. (Tan Sri) Muhyiddin Mohd Yassin is the natural choice. He is the Deputy Prime Minister and Deputy Umno President.

8. For months the expectation has been that he will lead the charge. But he has been blowing hot and cold, and many observers think that he would not mount an open challenge. He has been speaking out against 1MDB but unless he states his stand openly, Umno is not likely to rally behind him to shoo Mohd Najib away from Putrajaya. Like the legendary Jebat he risks being done in by Mohd Najib’s "Hang Tuahs".

9. All said and done, he is still the best person to take over. He stands a good chance of consolidating Umno and bringing back the support of the Malays. He hasn’t been embroiled in a major controversy of the proportion of 1MDB, his wife is likeable and his children are rarely seen or heard of. The only one the public knows is Najwa Mahiaddin because she is a singer and songwriter. An added advantage is the fact that he comes of a religious Muar family.

10. But he may not be so dearly loved by the non-Malays because he openly acknowledged that he is Malay first and Malaysian second in relation to Mohd Najib 1Malaysia branding. So he may not get full backing from the non-Malay parties of the BN, but he can count on the support of the anak negeri parties in Sarawak.

11. If Umno becomes stronger in the post-Mohd Najib era, the BN stands a better chance of remaining in power after the next general election three to four years from now.

12. The PR would lose its silver bullet if Mohd Najib resigns. He is its biggest asset. Things would be worse for the opposition if Muhyiddin succeeds in improving the affairs of the state. 1MDB will remain a major systemic risk but the new Prime Minister stands a better chance of sorting it out because he is not directly involved in creating the mess.

13. The PR can hope to build upon its sterling 2013 performance only if it thinks and acts beyond (Datuk Seri) Anwar Ibrahim, and play down ideological differences among member parties and concentrate on issues that they can agree on, especially the economy.

14. What the PR has that the BN does not is the youthfulness of leadership. This is its advantage. It should build on this instead of being caught in the past. Veteran PR leaders should pull back a little and allow the younger ones to shine.

15, As I have told many PR leaders, if they really want to rule, they must have a comprehensive set of economic policies, plans and programmes. They cannot hope to win power by merely taking advantage of the BN’s weaknesses. They must develop their own strength.

16. If they fail to do so, they will disappoint their legion of young multi-racial supporters and, by default, will give back to the BN the advantage it lost during the 2013 GE.


Thursday, April 02, 2015

Siapa Arah Sirul? Tanya Dr M

A Kadir Jasin

SIAPA yang memberi arahan supaya Altantuya Shaariibuu dibunuh? Itulah pertanyaan bekas Perdana Menteri, (Tun) Dr Mahathir Mohamad hari ini.

[PERINGATAN: Komen guna “Anonymous” tidak akan disiarkan. Sila guna Google Account atau Name/URL. Boleh pakai nama samaran.]

Menulis dalam blognya dengan tajuk “Umno dan PRU14” beliau, antara lain, mempersoalkan peranan bekas pengawal peribadi Perdana Menteri  Sirul Azhar Umar dalam pembunuhan wanita Mongolia itu.

Sirul dan Inspektor Azilah Hadri didapati bersalah atas tuduhan membunuh Altantuya dan dijatuhi hukuman gantung sampai mati oleh Mahkamah Persekutuan pada 13 Januari lepas. Bagaimanapun Sirul bolos dan lari ke Australia sebelum dijatuhi hukuman.

Mendiang Altantuya dengan anak yang ditinggalkan
Dr Mahathir berkata: “Rakyat tertanya-tanya siapa yang memberi arahan. Sebagai pengawal peribadi Dato Sri Najib, dakwaan Sirul perlu disiasat untuk menentukan siapa yang memberi arahan. Tetapi selain daripada Najib berkata Sirul “merepet”, tidak ada siasatan yang dibuat. Ini adalah nyawa manusia. Amatlah zalim jika Sirul dibunuh kerana menjalankan arahan.”

Selain itu beliau berkata ramalan banyak pihak menjurus ke arah kekalahan Umno/BN dalam pilihan raya umum akan datang.

Dr Mahathir juga mengulangi kritikan terhadap 1Malaysia Development Berhad selain mempersoalkan sumber kekayaan anak tiri Mohd Najib, Riza Abdul Aziz dan pembelian jet eksekutif baru oleh Perdana Menteri.

Dalam tulisan paling keras dan terus terang sehingga kini, Dr Mahathir berkata: "Sesungguhnya rakyat, baik Melayu, Cina, India atau suku kaum Sabah dan Sarawak sudah tidak percaya lagi kepada Najib. Ahli Umno dan pemimpinnya perlu sedar Umno, dan dengan itu BN, akan kalah jika Najib memimpin Umno hingga PRU14.

"Apabila Umno kalah, orang Melayu akan kutuk kepimpinan yang menjadikan parti keramat ini begitu lemah sehingga ditolak oleh bangsa Melayu sendiri. Sekali Umno kalah, ia tidak akan dapat dipulih semula."

Saya ditanya oleh portal berita Malaysiakini mengenai tulisan Dr Mahathir itu. Antara lain, saya berkata, saya ingin tahu sama ada laporan polis akan dibuat terhadap Dr Mahathir kerana tulisan beliau itu seperti laporan polis ke atas (Datuk Paduka) Khairuddin Abu Hassan kerana membuat laporan polis terhadap 1MDB.

Saya berkata lagi, ada beberapa kemungkinan yang menyebabkan Dr Mahathir menulis begitu keras dan terus terang.

Pertama beliau baru pulang ke tanah air setelah agak lama di luar negara, kedua beliau menunggu sehingga Mohd Najib selesai mengadakan majlis raksasa perkahwinan anaknya (dengan (Datin Paduka Seri) Rosmah Mansor) dan ketiga kerana (Datuk Seri) Anwar Ibrahim sudah dipenjarakan dan tidak menjadi ancaman besar lagi kepada Mohd Najib.

Tetapi petikan mengatakan Anwar bukan lagi faktor penting dalam politik kurang tepat. Anwar masih berpengaruh walaupun dalam penjara.

Tidak kurang menarik ialah reaksi Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah kepada tulisan Dr Mahathir itu. Beliau dipetik sebagai berkata bahawa Dr Mahathir cuba mencari kebenaran dan sudah sampai masanya bagi kerajaan menjawab soalan-soalan yang dikemukakan supaya muncul kebenaran.

"Saya yakin beliau mempunyai sebab mengatakan semua itu,” tegas Tunku Razaleigh.


About Me

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I was born in 1947 in Kedah. I came from a rice farming family. I have been a journalist since 1969. I am the Editor-in-Chief of magazine publishing company, Berita Publishing Sdn Bhd. I was Group Editor NST Sdn Bhd and Group Editor-in-Chief of NSTP Bhd between 1988 and 2000. I write fortnightly column “Other Thots” in the Malaysian Business magazine, Kunta Kinte Original in Berita Harian and A Kadir Jasin Bercerita in Dewan Masyarakat. Books: Biar Putih Tulang (1998), Other Thots – Opinions & Observations 1992-2001 (2001), The Wings of an Eagle (2003), Mencari Dugalia Huso (2006), Damned That Thots (2006), Blogger (2006), PRU 2008-Rakyat Sahut Cabaran (2008), Komedi & Tragedi-Latest in Contemporary Malaysian Politics (2009) and Membangun Bangsa dengan Pena (2009).